How to win at betting: method and tips
Making money from gambling? Get out of your head the idea of registering at one of the best bookmakers and playing assiduously hoping for a stroke of luck. Finding a good betting comparator is essential, but anyone who wants to win at sports betting must adopt an attitude that is anything but instinctive.
The key words to keep in mind are: lucidity, discipline and time. These are the three ingredients necessary to design a strategy that will increase the odds of winning at betting.
Lucidity is the prerequisite for making well-thought-out decisions, both in terms of analysis and organization. It takes time to make a thorough study of statistics, the starting point of any winning strategy. Discipline makes it possible to carry out the elaborate plan without dangerous deviations.
Professional tipsters and forecasters never cease to insist that playing with the goal of winning is something very different from an occasional gamble made for pure pleasure. Let's see, then, how to use lucidity, time and discipline to play systematically in an attempt to win at sports betting.
Keeping emotions under control: first step to winning at betting
Before you start devising a strategy to win at betting, you must learn to control your emotions. All your efforts of study, organization and planning will be in vain if you let yourself be guided by your impulsivity, your desires or your affections when placing your bets.
There is little to do, you must lock up your emotional sphere when it comes to choosing what to bet on. You can allow yourself to be impulsive and emotional if you play purely for fun or perhaps just out of habit, but betting systematically with the goal of winning requires total control of your emotions.
Outside the metaphor, this advice translates into some behaviors that are easy to say, but more difficult to put into practice. The first is to pay extreme attention to betting on your favorite team. It is very difficult, if not impossible, to be objective when there are animations involved. For this reason, experienced bettors always advise to avoid betting on the favorite team.
Never bet on impulse, each choice must have been planned beforehand. Learn to keep a cool head in every situation: this will allow you to withdraw at the right time and avoid insisting on playing when you have already lost a large amount.
Always keep in mind that the outcome of a bet is not influenced by the previous one.
A real help in controlling emotions is to cut down on alcohol, or better yet, eliminate it altogether. Drinking and winning in betting are two things that do not go hand in hand at all: the euphoria caused by alcohol will not make you keep the necessary lucidity to make well-considered decisions.
How to win at betting? Start by studying
Once you have locked up your emotional sphere, you can move on to the first operational phase. This is the study phase, and it is the one that requires the biggest investment of time. The study of statistics cannot be reduced to the quick reading of one or two articles and a couple of infographics. It must be an in-depth study that leaves out no detail.
From this necessity derives another golden rule for making money with betting, namely to avoid minor leagues and concentrate on the most important competitions.
Finding information about players in the Indonesian soccer league is a much more complicated affair than finding in-depth statistics about teams in the Premier League or Champions League. Besides, high level competitions have less statistical unpredictability than unimportant leagues.
Be careful not to misunderstand this advice. It's not about choosing who to bet on based on the popularity of the team: it's about having enough information on which to base your bet. So the teams to bet on are not necessarily the most popular or the most followed, they are the teams that at that precise moment have the highest probability of winning.
Why not always bet only on the "strongest"? The ability of a team is influenced by many factors that need to be taken into account.
For example, a team given as a favorite may be penalized by a player who is momentarily out of form, by players sent off or by a change of tactics that proves ineffective. Therefore, the study should not only be exhaustive, but continuous. Be prepared to change your initial decision if new conditions make your initial choice unlikely.
Of course, as already mentioned, this choice should not be dictated by impulse, by a sudden fear, but by a lucid consideration based on the new data you have at your disposal.
In addition to the statistics of the teams, you need to carefully analyze the odds offered by the various bookmakers. Learning to analyze changes in the odds takes a lot of experience, so expect several failed attempts before you really understand how it works.
A very common mistake made by beginners is to mechanically analyze the variations of the odds. The typical reasoning is: Experienced and analytically minded bettors are well aware that a quote can go down for both real reasons and market speculation, and over time they learn to distinguish one from the other.
Winning at betting in practice: how to make strategies
Have you collected a sufficient amount of data? You can go on to elaborate your strategy. At this stage, you should be guided by organization and discipline. Now it is time to draw up a detailed betting program in which you define your objectives and the steps you need to take to achieve them. A real timetable.
It is not necessary to bet every day. Betting out of habit is all very well for fun, but it does not lead to big winnings. The calendar allows you to browse through the events, choosing those that are worth playing on, and have a long-term plan.
Why it is important to have a long term schedule? Because there will inevitably be wins, but also losses. Playing with a long-term vision reduces the impact of losses. If you organize yourself well and stay disciplined, without sudden and unmotivated changes of schedule, the overall balance will be positive.
Bankroll management in betting
To create your program, you must determine a total sum that will be spent on betting in a predefined time frame, preferably in the long term. The total amount should always be decided according to your real financial possibilities. Once established, you should NEVER exceed this amount.
Once you have established the total sum, you must decide the amount you want to allocate to each bet. With this you will have a general idea of how many bets you can afford to play. You'll have to adjust your shot as you go along, but without completely messing up the plan you've created.
A good percentage to allocate to a single bet is about 1-2% of the total capital. It is advisable to reduce it to 0.5% for the bets you consider most uncertain. If, on the other hand, the data makes you feel particularly confident, you can increase it, but never exceed 4%.
When it comes to the best method to win at betting, it is difficult to give an unequivocal answer. Bettors disagree on this point. Mathematical skills and personal preferences come into play. Over time, you'll find the most effective method for the way you play the game.
Basically, a good method is based on a mathematical algorithm. Creating one is very difficult, but the most determined bettors are willing to make the effort. Excel becomes an ally that you can't do without.
Practical tips for winning at betting
There is no magic recipe for winning at betting because luck remains an indispensable component of the game. However, reducing the weight of the luck factor is not impossible: as we have seen, the right attitude and tricks will greatly increase your chances of winning.
To conclude, here are some other useful tips for winning at betting:
– Passion for the sport is a prerequisite. It sounds trite, but if you don't have a deep love for the sport, you will soon get bored of collecting data, consulting statistics, reading opinions, etc.
Register with several operators to compare the odds offered. It is advisable to have at least three.
– Don't be swayed by previous results. A wrong bet won't increase the odds of a subsequent win, just as a winning bet doesn't trigger a loop of consecutive wins.
– Take advantage of welcome bonuses. A deposit bonus allows you to have a larger bankroll, while with a cashback bonus you can limit the damage in case of losses.
– Don't play the game by force. It is better to leave it alone if there is something you are not convinced about, if you think you don't have enough data or that the data does not give a clear indication of what to bet on.
– Remember that gambling is a game and that no method can guarantee 100% winnings. Play only the amount of money you have set initially.